Major Kresna Hendra Wibawa / Flight 17 / NS-601E Final Essay / 12 December 2023
“To form a government of the state of Indonesia which shall protect all the people of Indonesia and all the independence and the land that has been struggled for, and to improve public welfare., participate toward establishing a world order based on freedom, perpetual peace, and social justice.” The Preamble of Indonesia’s Constitution clearly states the objectives and the statutes of the Government and State of Indonesia.[1] The Indonesian government's primary goal is to prioritize Indonesia's sovereignty and prosperity while actively engaging in promoting global peace. The founder of the Indonesian nation formulated noble aspirations, but their realization is not as straightforward as inscribing them on paper; instead, it is fraught with numerous challenges and obstacles since Indonesia is and continues to stand alongside other nations whose ideals and interests are to glorify their peoples. Presently, one of the nations whose behavior is beginning to resemble aggression is China, which is expanding in every sector and poses a potential threat to the nation’s ideals. Consequently, to safeguard Indonesia’s national security, a well-defined strategy is required to counter China’s threats via diplomacy, information, military, and economics and consider cross-theater risk.
Territorial
integrity, economic security, regional stability, and national identity are
overarching objectives that transcend the need to counterbalance or counteract
China’s regional power. Indonesia is a nation undergoing development, presenting
many internal and external challenges. The preservation of territorial
integrity has emerged as a critical component in advancing the principal aim of
the national security strategy, owing to Indonesia’s abundant natural resources
that can be effectively harnessed for the country’s benefit. Furthermore,
guaranteed economic security will improve Indonesian citizens' standard of
living and ensure the economy's efficient functioning. More critically, by
ensuring regional stability, we can ensure that the government’s attention
remains on the comprehensive development of Indonesia. On top of that, Indonesia
must exhibit its national identity as a nation committed to peace and global
responsibility.
Effective
diplomacy can build a coalition against potential threats, as diplomatic
warriors used to do when persuading other countries to acknowledge Indonesia’s
independence and sovereignty. Diplomatic ties between Indonesia and China,
which had existed since Indonesia’s inception, had been completely severed as a
result of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) incitement of the Indonesian
Communist Party (PKI) to execute the coup attempt in 1960.[2] The
diplomatic commotion between the two countries has gradually diminished over
time, and they are increasingly dependent on one another; this has been
especially true during the current administration of President Joko Widodo.
However, this does not imply that the Chinese are sincere regarding cooperation
and mutual regard—a series of belligerent Chinese incursions into Indonesian
territorial water in the Northern Natuna Sea support this. This makes China a
highly regarded country as a real threat to Indonesia. Indonesia realizes its
power is inferior to China. Therefore, diplomatic action is the most effective
response to the threat. Indonesia should strengthen and actively participate in
regional organizations, notably the Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN), and use international platforms to voice concerns. Regional state
dialogue, cooperation, and agreement-making are methods that can be employed to
fortify regional relations progressively.
Information
technology can be utilized to counter the peril posed by China. However, we
must first determine how China responds to recent information developments.
China has a dedicated department for disseminating propaganda, under which a
specific division is responsible for creating propaganda targeted at
international audiences.[3] Indeed,
their broadcasting possesses a distinct China-centric perspective, and their
primary objective is to convey the favored narrative of China.[4]
And they believe that journalistic freedom can jeopardize their ideology.[5] Therefore,
Indonesia must thoroughly investigate the veracity of Chinese information
before accepting it. Indonesia should bolster its cyber defenses, counter
disinformation campaigns, and engage in strategic communication initiatives to
influence international perceptions and safeguard national interests considering
the importance of information warfare. Investment in cybersecurity,
intelligence capabilities, and strategic communication initiatives are vital to
counter informational threats. Building a resilient information infrastructure
will help protect Indonesia’s national narrative and counter adversarial
influence. However, China’s potential response could consist of cyberattacks
that aim to compromise sensitive data and disrupt critical infrastructure.
The
military dimension may also be employed as a strategic approach to confront the
threat posed by China, albeit not explicitly, due to the contrasting positions
taken by Indonesian and Chinese powers. Unprecedented increases in military
spending by major powers during peacetime spanning twenty-five years
demonstrate that China’s leaders value military might.[6]
China has enhanced its maritime
capabilities, including its nuclear arsenal, to assert sovereignty over
contested territory in the South China Sea.[7] Therefore,
Indonesia must bolster its military capacities, explicitly strengthening its
marine and aerial defensive capabilities. Enhancing deterrence capabilities
against foreign threats will be achieved by investments in sophisticated naval
and air assets, as well as through the implementation of joint exercises and
training programs. However, as highlighted by John Mearsheimer in his book The
Tragedy of Great Power Politics, there exists a phenomenon known as a
“security dilemma” whereby enhancing the security of one nation can lead to a
reduction in the security of another.[8]
This leads to the assumption that Indonesia is a threat to China.
The
final instrument that can be employed is leveraging the economy as a strategic
approach in response to China. China is implementing several programs, including
the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The BRI’s principal goal is to link China
with its neighbors; eighty-two nations have already signed on.[9] As
a result of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), China has transformed into a
major donor, offering loans to nations who pledge to construct the
infrastructure that China has promised. However, similar to what transpired in
Venezuela, which led to massive losses for that country, it is actually a debt
trap.[10]
Indonesia, being a signatory to the BRI and currently receiving financial loans
from China for the development of a high-speed train and infrastructure in the
new capital, should be fully cognizant of the adverse circumstances that have
negatively impacted other nations receiving similar assistance. Utilizing
economic instruments involves diversifying trade partnerships, investing in
strategic industries, and creating a resilient economic foundation. This
approach will reduce dependency on any single nation, making Indonesia less
susceptible to economic coercion. Allocating resources to critical
infrastructure projects, technological innovation, and economic diversification
will contribute to long-term economic security.
Notwithstanding
the all-encompassing strategies, geopolitical fluctuations, economic
susceptibilities, and potential military confrontations all pose inherent
dangers. It is critical to identify these hazards and implement effective
mitigation measures. Given the interconnected nature of global security,
Indonesia should participate in regional security frameworks and agreements.
Collaborative efforts with ASEAN, the United Nations, and other regional
organizations can provide a platform for collective security response. It would
be important to establish crisis management protocols with neighboring nations.
These protocols should include communication channels, conflict resolution
mechanisms, and joint exercises to address potential crises and prevent unintended
escalations.
In
conclusion, safeguarding Indonesia’s national security interests in the face of
potential threats from China requires a comprehensive strategy using all
elements of power while not disregarding cross-theater risk. The objectives
outlined in Indonesia’s constitution, emphasizing territorial integrity,
economic security, regional stability, and national identity, serve as guiding
principles in formulating this strategy. The pursuit of these objectives
involves diplomatic, informational, military, and economic instruments, each
tailored to address the unique challenges presented by China’s evolving
behavior. While the path to realizing these aspirations is fraught with
complexities, including diplomatic intricacies, information warfare, military
posturing, and economic dependencies, Indonesia must navigate these challenges with prudence. Through effective diplomacy, bolstered information defenses, a
credible military deterrent, and economic diversification, Indonesia can assert
its interests in the face of potential threats. However, recognizing the
interconnected nature of global security, proactive participation in regional
security framework, and establishing crisis management protocols are vital for
mitigating risks and fostering collective security responses. Indonesia’s
commitment to a balanced and principled approach will not only secure its national
interest but also contribute to establishing a global order based on freedom,
perpetual peace, and social justice.
NOTES
I want to thank our National Security Instructor, Dr. Ronald Dains, and all the students of Flight 17 for their thoughtful comments and suggestions. All errors found therein are my own.
[1] Constitution of
Indonesia, 1945.
[2] Shambaugh, D. China and the World (Oxford University Press, 2020), 8.
[3] Ibid, 99.
[4] Ibid, 145.
[5] Document 9: A China File Translation (2013), 5.
[6] Haddick, R. Fire on the Water: China, America, and the future of the Pacific (2nd ed.) (Naval Institute Press, 2022), 83.
[7] Ibid, 16.
[8] Mearsheimer, J. J. The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (W. W. Norton & Company, 2003), 35.
[9] Shambaugh. China and the World, 125.
[10] Ibid, 132.
Tidak ada komentar:
Posting Komentar